Consumer confidence indices and stock markets' meltdowns

Confidence Building in Emerging Stock Markets

Confidence Building in Emerging Stock Markets* Investor confidence in reliable property rights and stable, market-oriented policies are a necessary condition for financial integration and the development of emerging stock markets. Announced market-oriented policies may be reversed, however, and are initially not fully credible. We argue that sustained privatization and liberalization programmes...

Adaptive markets hypothesis for Islamic stock indices: Evidence from Dow Jones size and sector-indices

This paper analyzes the degree of return predictability (or weak-form informational efficiency) of Dow Jones Islamic and conventional size and sector-indices using the data from 1996 to 2013. Employing the automatic portmanteau and variance ratio tests for the martingale difference hypothesis of asset returns, we find that all Islamic and conventional sub-index returns have been predictable in ...

Studying How Changes in Consumer Sentiment Impact the Stock Markets and the Housing Markets

Consumer Confidence After

T he terrorist attacks on September 11 dealt a serious blow to the U.S. economy. The damage included the tragic loss of human life, massive property destruction, and disruptions to the travel and shipping industries. But immediately after the attacks, many observers also worried about the possible harm to business and consumer confidence. Although the effects on business confidence are hard to ...

Confidence Region for long memory based on Inverting Bootstrap Tests: an application to Stock Market Indices

In the context of long memory, the finite-sample distorsion of statistic distributions is so large, that bootstrap confidence intervals (percentile and percentile-t) for the long memory parameter do not perform better than the corresponding asymptotic confidence interval. In this paper, we propose confidence intervals based on inverting bootstrap tests proposed by Davidson and MacKinnon [2001] ...